Skip to main content

Oscars 2017: Who Will Win?

2017 Oscar Predictions


This year there is no mystery as to which movie is going to be the big winner on Oscar night, as La La Land is sure to dominate. That movie earned a record tying 14 nominations and will undoubtedly win Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Actress. The question now becomes just how many of those nominations will turn into wins. I do not think it's going to break the record for most wins (which is currently at 11 held by Ben-Hur, Titanic, and The Return of the King). Tying the record is certainly possible, but I think 10 wins sounds about right. To see a complete list of nominees, click here.

Here are my predictions with analysis on some of the major categories:

Best Picture: La La Land

There's nothing to analyze here - La La Land is going to win. 

Best Actor: Denzel Washington, Fences 

This is probably the toughest category to predict and it's down to either Denzel Washington or Casey Affleck for Manchester by the Sea. Affleck was the presumed frontrunner for most of award season until Washington beat him for the SAG Award. It's been 13 years since the SAG winner did not repeat at the Oscars, which is why I am predicting him for now. 

Best Actress: Emma Stone, La La Land

I'm pretty confident it's going to be Stone. Her biggest competition is Isabelle Huppert, but performances in foreign language films very rarely win. Still Best Picture and Best Actress have not gone to the same movie since Million Dollar Baby and no Best Actress has won for a musical since Liza Minnelli in Cabaret

Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Although he surprisingly lost the Golden Globe, Ali has won pretty much every award in existence for Moonlight. No reason to think he won't win the Oscar, especially since the Globe winner, Aaron Taylor Johnson, was not nominated by the Academy. 

Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences

Another easy category to call. Everybody is talking about how it's time for Viola Davis to finally win an Oscar, even if her placement in the Supporting Actress category has been called into question by some. 

Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea 

If La La Land is going to to tie the record for most wins, it'll do so by winning this category. It's possible, but I just cannot fathom a world where Manchester by the Sea doesn't win a single Oscar. 
Best Director: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Best Original Score: La La Land
Best Original Song: "City of Stars," La La Land
Best Sound Mixing: La La Land
Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
Best Cinematography: La La Land
Best Costume Design: La La Land
Best Production Design: La La Land
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond
Best Film Editing: La La Land
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book
Best Animated Film: Zootopia
Best Documentary Feature: OJ: Made in America
Best Foreign Film: Toni Edrmann
Best Animated Short: Piper
Best Documentary Short: The White Helmets
Best Live Action Short: Ennemis Interieurs 

The Oscars air February 26 on ABC. Let me know who you are predicting to win in the comments below!

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Scoob! Review: Scooby Doo's Big Screen Reboot is a Dud

The new film, premiering in people's homes because movie theaters are closed, is an attempt to launch a new shared cinematic universe based on old Hanna-Barbera cartoons. The result is characters from other old shows getting awkardly interpolated in the story of the Mystery Inc gang. Dynomutt and the Blue Falcon (Dynomutt, Dog Wonder) show up, as does DeeDee (Captain Caveman and the Teen Angels, whatever that is). The main villain is Dick Dastardly (Wacky Races), who comes complete with some Minions ripoff robot sidekicks and a plan that involves opening a portal to the underworld or something. It's all very incongruous with the classic Scooby formula, in which the supernatural was almost always revealed to be smoke and mirrors. 
The humor is aggressively topical, referencing smartphones and Tinder and Hemsworths. None of it is very funny, least of all a cameo by Simon Cowell. Is he still relevant? 
Like the recent Charlie's Angles reboot, Scoob! drags its source material in…

Ranking the "Mission: Impossible" Films Worst to Best

The Mission: Impossible movies, based on the 1966-73 television series, are about Ethan Hunt and the Impossible Mission Force doing something that seems impossible at first, but always ends up being possible. Tom Cruise stars in all the films as Ethan, and other members of the team are Luther (Ving Rhames) and Benji (Simon Pegg). I like the Mission: Impossible movies because each film has a different director and thus each one has their own distinctive feel. Sure, there are a couple of constants (Cruise is in them all, they all are spy/action movies, and they all have people wearing masks - a nod to the TV show), but going into a Mission: Impossible movie you are never quite sure what you are going to get. Sometimes it's a silly fun spy franchise, other times it feels like nothing more than an excuse for Tom Cruise do to some sort of crazy stunt. Since the first film was released in 1996, there have been five movies, with a sixth on the way. Here's how I would rank the movies …

Hollwood Surprises No One at Most Self-Congratulatory Award Show of Year: Golden Globes Review

Golden Globes 2017: Review

The Golden Globes are the most pointless award show all season. They are not given by critics or people working in the industry, but rather the HFPA, a group of 89 foreign journalists who are notoriously susceptible to bribes. They nominate sometimes awful films and performances in hopes big stars will show up to their party. It is necessary when selecting a host to find someone who wouldn't feed into the HFPA's already inflated sense of self-importance. Why Amy Poehler and Tina Fey were the ideal hosts for this show is because their jokes, while very funny, were also pointed attacks at the HFPA, the individual stars in attendance, and the celebrity complex as a whole. Ricky Gervais had the same basic idea, except less mean and thus less funny. I was nervous when in August when they announced Jimmy Fallon, the talk show host with a reputation for being nice, as the host of this year's Globes. Turns out I was right to be nervous that Fallon wouldn…